Quote:
Originally Posted by voyager_3
Oh, well... a few words on basic of probability.
If probability of an event ( eg. looting an item) is 1.5%, it doesn't mean that the event occurs every 66.667 independent tries (eg. every 67 mobs killed). For example there can happen series of 120 independent tries without occuring the event or series of 50 tries with two events. On average, ie. when number of tries goes to infinity, the event occurs every 66.667 tries. Note: please, don't mix up result of single try with an average result.  |
No even that's not right. What you're talking about is average return, and is an observational result, not a function.
1.5% chance means that for a single event, it's 197/3 times more likely that another outcome will result. You can't quantify it to to "it will happen this many times per this many events," average or not.
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